Taisei Ichikawa vs Ryuki Matsuda Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Ryuki Matsuda excels on his second serve, winning 45.23% of points in the last six months. Meanwhile, Taisei Ichikawa lags behind slightly with 40.78% success.
• In recent return games, Matsuda captured 44.49% of opponents' second serves, compared to Ichikawa's slightly higher 44.54%. Who has the upper edge?
• On the first serve return, Matsuda is superior, taking 30.80% of points, whereas Ichikawa trails at 24.91%, giving Matsuda a crucial advantage.
• Under pressure, Ichikawa effectively saves breakpoints 55.95% of the time, slightly better than Matsuda's 52.70% success rate—a potential factor in their showdown.
• Over the past year, Matsuda's match win rate is 47.54%, close to Ichikawa's 48.98%, indicating similar levels of performance.
• Hard courts favor Matsuda (57% win rate), while Ichikawa prefers clay (57% win rate), giving Matsuda a surface advantage if the match is on Hard.
• Matsuda has a stronger performance in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, with a 60.61% win rate compared to Ichikawa's 46.15%.
• In their only head-to-head meeting, Matsuda emerged victorious, taking two of three sets, suggesting he has an edge in direct competition.
• Matsuda's opponents have had an average rank of 438.31, less challenging than Ichikawa's competitors with an average rank of 374.24, hinting at Ichikawa's experience with tougher competition.
• In decisive third sets, Matsuda slightly outperforms with a 48% win rate against Ichikawa's 47% over the last year.
• Recently, Matsuda converts 33.33% of breakpoint opportunities, outperforming Ichikawa's 27.21%, an important metric for deciding crucial moments in their match.

Editorial Prediction (November 17, 2025, UTC):

Both players have shown competitive performances over the last year, making this match a compelling head-to-head. Matsuda has a slight edge with his recent second serve performance and effectiveness on return games, especially on the first serve, which could be pivotal in this match.

Although Ichikawa has shown resilience under pressure and familiarity with higher-ranked opponents, Matsuda's slight edge on hard courts coupled with his breakpoint conversion rate might give him the necessary advantage.

Considering the direct head-to-head victory and stronger recent form in critical aspects like second serves and breakpoint conversions, Ryuki Matsuda is poised to be the favorite in this upcoming match.